{"id":99151,"date":"2024-02-15T01:10:05","date_gmt":"2024-02-15T01:10:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.estaql.com\/escalation-between-israel-and-lebanon-is-possible-but-latest-exchange-is-unlikely-to-change-status-quo-world-news\/"},"modified":"2024-02-15T01:10:05","modified_gmt":"2024-02-15T01:10:05","slug":"escalation-between-israel-and-lebanon-is-possible-but-latest-exchange-is-unlikely-to-change-status-quo-world-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/estaql.com\/seo\/escalation-between-israel-and-lebanon-is-possible-but-latest-exchange-is-unlikely-to-change-status-quo-world-news\/","title":{"rendered":"Escalation between Israel and Lebanon is possible – but latest exchange is unlikely to change status quo | World News"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Escalation between Israel and Lebanon is possible – but latest exchange is unlikely to change status quo | World News<\/h2>\n

Escalation between Israel and Lebanon is possible – but latest exchange is unlikely to change status quo | World News<\/p>\n

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The exchange of fire over Israel’s northern border with Lebanon is some of the most serious yet – but the situation remains fundamentally the same.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Hezbollah’s<\/strong> <\/strong>Iranian patrons do not want the militia to escalate the conflict to an all-out war.<\/p>\n

And its commanders want to avoid one too. Israel may be weighing a bigger war but has not decided to do so yet.<\/p>\n

Ever since the Hamas atrocities of 7 October, Hezbollah and Israel<\/strong> <\/strong>have been duelling over the border.<\/p>\n

Follow live: Israel launches wave of attacks on Lebanon<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hezbollah feels it must show solidarity with the Palestinians of Gaza<\/strong> <\/strong>but not become drawn into a repeat of the devastating conflict of 2006.<\/p>\n

It knows the people of Lebanon will not forgive them for any escalation that could wreck the country’s already decimated economy.<\/p>\n

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\n The site where a rocket landed after it was fired from Lebanon. Pic: Reuters
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Hezbollah was set up with Iran’s encouragement to “resist” Israeli incursions and occupations and draws its ranks from the Shia of southern Lebanon. It is part of a crescent of Shiite militias stretching west from Iran.<\/p>\n

Since 2006 its armoury of missiles hidden in the hills of southern Lebanon has increased to 150,000 rockets, according to Israel.<\/p>\n

It is widely thought that Iran<\/strong> <\/strong>has paid for much of that to be used only as a last resort.<\/p>\n

The arsenal is an insurance policy it is claimed only to be used when Israel or the United States strike Iran’s nuclear facilities.<\/p>\n

For these reasons, it would take a major escalation to tip Hezbollah into an all-out war. That is not out of the question.<\/p>\n

An accidental Israeli airstrike on a southern Lebanese kindergarten killing many children for instance might give Hezbollah commanders little choice but to respond in earnest.<\/p>\n

And a deliberate Israeli escalation is also a possibility.<\/p>\n

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Israel strikes Hezbollah targets
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Since 7 October, Israel has been reevaluating a defence strategy that hitherto had preferred to manage the threat to its enemies rather than eliminate them.<\/p>\n

It now favours the latter when it comes to Hamas. And some in the Israeli government have advocated the same against Hezbollah.<\/p>\n

Read more:
Children among four people killed in Israeli strikes on Lebanon
Analysis: Does Netanyahu have the nerve for a military operation in Rafah?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Thus far Israel’s prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu appears unconvinced.<\/p>\n

So the uneasy status quo, however kinetic, remains ongoing. This latest exchange seems unlikely to change the equation.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

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Escalation between Israel and Lebanon is possible – but latest exchange is unlikely to change status quo | World News<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Escalation between Israel and Lebanon is possible – but latest exchange is unlikely to change status quo | World News Escalation between Israel and Lebanon is possible – but latest exchange is unlikely to change status quo | World News The exchange of fire over Israel’s northern border with Lebanon is some of the most […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7711],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-99151","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-7711"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/estaql.com\/seo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99151","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/estaql.com\/seo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/estaql.com\/seo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/estaql.com\/seo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/estaql.com\/seo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99151"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/estaql.com\/seo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99151\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/estaql.com\/seo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99151"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/estaql.com\/seo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99151"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/estaql.com\/seo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99151"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}